Assessing Flood Risk Dynamics on the Oder River within the Context of Socio-Economic Consequences and Lasting Sustainable Development

Łukasz Szałata , Łukasz Kuźmiński , Jerzy Zwoździak

Abstract

We carried out a probabilistic analysis of the dynamics of flood risks for the selected area of the Oder River basin. The authors based their risk dynamics assessment on results from the distributions of the maximum values for a selected hydrological characteristic, namely flow rate. On the basis of the daily flow data from 1994-2013 collected at a hydrological station on the Oder River in the town of Malczyce, 30-day flow maxima were selected individually for four five-year periods. Then, a probabilistic model of maximal flow was estimated on the basis of these peaks for each five-year period. The resulting models were used to estimate flood risks and analyze the dynamics of the studied area.
Author Łukasz Szałata
Łukasz Szałata,,
-
, Łukasz Kuźmiński (EaE / IES / DACIaQM)
Łukasz Kuźmiński,,
- Department of Accounting, Control, Informatics and Quantitative Methods
, Jerzy Zwoździak
Jerzy Zwoździak,,
-
Journal seriesPolish Journal of Environmental Studies, ISSN 1230-1485, e-ISSN 2083-5906, (A 15 pkt)
Issue year2018
Vol27
No3
Pages1269-1279
Publication size in sheets0.5
Keywords in Englishflood risk, flow, extreme value distributions, Gumbel distribution, sustainable development
ASJC Classification2300 General Environmental Science; 2304 Environmental Chemistry
DOIDOI:10.15244/pjoes/76499
Languageen angielski
File
Szalata_Kuzminski_Zwozdziak_Assesing_Flood_Risk_Dynamics.pdf 2,08 MB
Score (nominal)15
Score sourcejournalList
ScoreMinisterial score = 15.0, 26-11-2019, ArticleFromJournal
Publication indicators Scopus SNIP (Source Normalised Impact per Paper): 2017 = 0.631; WoS Impact Factor: 2018 = 1.186 (2) - 2018=1.3 (5)
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