Measuring Aquatic Environments as a Tool for Flood Risk Management in Terms of Climate Change Dynamics
Łukasz Kuźmiński , Łukasz Szałata , Jerzy Zwoździak
AbstractWe studied climate change dynamics in southwestern Poland. The authors based the assessment of dynamics on the results of flood risk analyses. 30-day flow maxima were selected for three 10-year periods based on hydrological data on daily flows from 1986 to 2015 from the hydrological station on the Oder River in the town of Malczyce. By utilizing the selected maxima as well as selected maximum value distributions, probabilistic models of extreme flows were constructed for the three studied periods – each divided into six-month periods of “summer” and “winter.” The estimated models were used to calculate measurements of flood risks in the analyzed periods. We analyzed the studied area on the basis of the results the dynamics of flood risks.
|Journal series||Polish Journal of Environmental Studies, ISSN 1230-1485, e-ISSN 2083-5906, (A 15 pkt)|
|Publication size in sheets||0.5|
|Keywords in English||flood risk, flow, extreme value distributions, Gumbel distribution, climate change|
|Publication indicators||: 2017 = 0.631; : 2018 = 1.186 (2) - 2018=1.3 (5)|
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